Republican Brett Guthrie of Bowling Green continues to build on his lead in Kentucky’s 2nd Congressional District, according to the latest SurveyUSA conducted this week for Roll Call newspaper in Washington D.C. and WHAS-TV in Louisville.
The survey of 587 likely voters contacted on Monday and Tuesday found that 53 percent plan to back Guthrie and 43 percent are supporting his opponent, Democrat David Boswell of Sorgho. The margin of error for the poll is 4.1 percentage points.
This is the third straight SurveyUSA poll showing Guthrie with a lead in the district. A poll released Oct. 17 showed Guthrie leading 51 to 42 and a Sept. 26 survey had Guthrie with a 49-43 lead over Boswell.
This most recent poll showed Republican John McCain leading Democrat Barack Obama 62 to 35 in the presidential race in Kentucky’s 2nd District, which is considered one of the more conservative congressional districts in the state.
The survey also looked at the opinions likely voters hold about the two congressional candidates, and neither one appears to be an overwhelming favorite.
The results show 36 percent had a favorable opinion of Guthrie while only 32 percent held a favorable opinion of Boswell. About the same amount – about 31 percent – were neutral about the two men, who are both state senators.
Those surveyed think much higher of retiring Congressman Ron Lewis, a Cecilia Republican, who is leaving his 2nd District seat after seven terms. Lewis received a favorable rating of 60 percent, which higher than McCain’s 55 percent and much higher than the 33.5 percent who approved of Obama.
Both President George Bush and Congress faired poorly in the poll. Only 39 percent approve of the job Bush is doing as president and only 9 percent approve of the job Congress is doing.
Update…
In a release issued this morning, the Boswell camp called SurveyUSA “vastly out of touch” with the other polling done in the race and said the firm has not reflected what “national political pundits” have said.
The release noted other poll results conducted for the Boswell campaign and the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee that have found 1-point and 6-point leads for Boswell.
“SurveyUSA’s poll numbers in no way track with where anyone else sees the state of the race,” said Mark Riddle, media consultant for Boswell, in the release. “We have consistently seen polling showing Boswell ahead, and every other indicator provies that national political handicappers are seeing the same thing.”
At a rally and pig roast in Owensboro Thursday night, Boswell told a crowd of more than 100 that his campaign’s internal polling show him ahead by between 1 and 6 percentage points heading into the final days of the campaign.
“It’s a close race,” Boswell said. “We’re running like we’re six points behind.”
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